Goff Rankings
This could be the Year of the Road Warrior.
Each week, we’re spotting interesting quirks in our model. This week, the quirk is away-team performance.
Based on the 361 matches we have logged this year, both teams have an equal match rating the away team has a 51.6% probability of winning. As number nerds, we are eager to find out why.
Wasn't there an official DIA ranking already released; well yes, but there was a bit of an issue and it's so totally a 2021-22 issue.
In the Goff Rugby Report rankings that includes some of the NCR teams, this has been a tough time. Several Liberty teams produced wins but ended up dropping down, mainly because they beat other Liberty teams in very close games. Meanwhile, a few teams outside of that competition made big strides (Baylor, Michigan State, Utah Valley) and thus just pushed everyone down a spot or two.
We have a very complicated situation to deal with, which we will in some detail, so let's dispense with the less complicated stuff.
If Furman had lost to Belmont Abbey it's likely Norwich, having beaten two highly-ranked teams in convincing fashion, would have been #1.
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